The Big Blue Wave Inundates New York’s Senate

Democrats flipped eight GOP-held seats to give Dems 39–24 majority in the Senate and control over the Governor, Senate and Assembly. This sets up the Legislature to start putting long-blocked bills in front of the Governor for his signature. How progressive is Cuomo? We should soon find out.

In the absence of polls, campaign finance data is a poor substitute, but it’s what we have to work with. Before the election, my reading of the data led me to estimate that as many as nine GOP-held seats would flip. Eight is a great outcome.

What’s less clear is whether or not the campaign finance data provides a way to predict which races would flip. Here are the results of the 14 races I tracked:

The composition of the NY Senate in 2019 will look like this:

How times have changed. In 2017, the NY Senate looked like this:

Congrats to everyone who worked on this outcome! Kudos to all the candidates, to organized labor and especially to the grassroots groups without whom this wouldn’t have been possible.



Founder of Allie for Every Micro Org. Former 2021 Candidate for NYC Mayor.

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